Are Obama Voters Going to Come out Again? Is "Hope and Change" still Burning?

I was driving around Virginia Beach when I spotted this Bumper Sticker (on the left) and I couldn't wait to get home and search for it online. I googled phrases similar to what I thought I saw and yup I saw it right there. The BS makes fun of Obama's 2008's campaign mantra, "Change We Can Believe In".
This administration under Obama who snatched the Democrat nominee from the Clintons and defeated the Conservative's hawkish leader John McCain to win the presidential election of 2008, is struggling to keep everyone happy. The question now is, after his first term in office, a period of time rigged with scandals, mass resignations, poll plummeting and downright mean criticism from both sides, are Obama voters going to turn out again like they did in 2008?

Prediction 1. Young Voters will Turn up
In the book "Game Changer", which was written by those who were following the Obama campaign and received "first-hand" inside information from the candidate camps, described the Clinton's defeat in Iowa as the most stunning political miracle Obama ever had since entering politics a few years back. What took the ever confident Clintons by surprised was the sudden overwhelming turning out of young voters. They were mainly students and youngsters who do not really care about the questionable characters and the rather weaker resume their chosen candidate was running on. Despite that, the young voters turned out everywhere supporting him and made stunning historical vote.
In an investigation launched by a Conservative radio talk host which I blogged about some years back, found that 80% of these voters didn't know who Obama exactly was nor his political achievements either in the US senate or the Illinois state senate. They didn't even know who controls or runs the Congress at the time of the election. They had no clue about the leaders of the two parties, who they are and what they do over the years, but they knew a lot about the Republican contenders. When asked where they got their information, most of them pointed to MNBC, CNN, NRP, ABC, and other media outlets that were in cahoot with the Democrat Party.
Thus, it is fair to say that this category of voters aren't easily swayed by campaign speeches or attacks. In other words, they are voters who are not easily swayed by "knowledge" or "critical information" about their preferred candidate (Democrat or Republican), therefore, their votes and dedication remained unwavering. It is highly likely that Obama still commands young Liberal voters as opposed to Conservative or Independent youths. And it is more likely that they will turn out for Obama again in the 2012 presidential election.

Prediction 2. Blacks and Latinos
Over the course of two years, Obama's support amongst Blacks and Latinos remains unmoved. Back in 2008, 90% of black American (African American) voted for Obama and he also received a huge support from the majority of Latino voters. Obama's victory in 2008, to many Blacks, symbolizing the final chapter in their racial emancipation. Although blacks were liberated in the 1960s with the government's enforcement of the "civil rights" law, and even though blacks are amongst some of the most privileged Americans compared to their cousins in Africa and throughout the world, the election of Obama gave them the sense of being completely free, as one of my friend's best friend who is a teacher for a long time, expressed it when she heard of Obama's victory ... "IAM FREE".
Even Collin Powell, the right hand man of George W. Bush and the General who made the case for the invasion of Iraq in the UN Security Council, defected from the Conservative realm and the Republican party to support Obama. His endorsement demonstrated just one thing -- color made the difference in 2008 Presidential election.
Latinos were also supporting Obama in mass because of their protest against various immigration reforms and "English only" legislation puts forward by the Bush's administration. To many Hispanic voters, a candidate who is not a white man and who is a Liberal maybe their last home. There are at least 12 million illegal immigrants in United States and the majority are Hispanic (Mexicans). Liberals are known to be sympathetic to illegals and most of the time advocating open-border and in the past pushed legislation that would have given them their citizenship.

3. Independents, Women, and Far-Left Hardcores are Leaving Obama
Independents - No voters analyzed government policies better than the independent voters. These are voters who don't have party affiliations, they tend to vote when their interests are be threatened, and the choices always the ones that promised things they like to hear. Two of the most defining issues for the Independents during the 2008 election were "JOBS" and "WAR AGAINST TERROR". The recession started with George W. Bush and was spiraling out of control just in time for the presidential election. Obama made a very compelling argument that he would fix the economy and create more jobs.
In addition to that, the "War in Afghanistan and Iraq" exhausted many Americans. Obama made a "flat" promise to end the war, shutdown Guantanamo and bring home our troops and this two promises burned the 2008 election like gasoline. Sadly, however, these two promises have not been kept and Obama had moved from the middle to the Right of the political spectrum leaving these two promises unfulfilled. After two years into his administration, Iraq situation is still under the control of the US using Iraqi army trainees to do most of the heavy patrolling; GITMO is still opened despite Obama's order its closure shortly after taking office.
Women - These were Obama's hardcore supporters in 2008. His fight for organization that cares for women, such as Planned Parenthood, and the promises for better medical care disappeared when he became president. Under his leadership, women are losing the fight for free mammogram and right to abortion. During the last budget debate, Republican successfully banned funding for abortion and Obama curved in to save his Healthcare law. These woman are deserting Obama. In fact, one of Obama's biggest support and critical endorsement back in 2008 came from the most richest black woman, Oprah Winfrey, but this time the rich lady signaled she will not support Obama in 2012 re-election.

Far-Left - These are the committed Liberal Democrats who wouldn't take any bargain for any of their values or beliefs. They are anti-war fanatics, extreme socialists who believe in the distribution of wealth in America, and are also advocates of human-rights and open-border. Their support for Obama wears thin over Obama's Foreign Policy. They criticized Obama for not closing GITMO, prolonging the Iraqi and surged the US armed forces in Afghanistan. The only think Obama did that pleased the left is his removing of the "Don't Ask, Don't Tell" legislation with which gays and lesbians are given the equal opportunity to serve in the US military, but Obama falls short on introducing a bill that successfully allowing same-sex marriage. In a strange move by the Obama administration, the Attorney General was told not to defend the traditional law that defines married to be between a man and a woman as it is unconstitutional.

The defining moment for Obama and the Far-Left nuts, is the US involvement in the ongoing Libya campaign. This is the anti-war president on ran on the platform and political mantra of ending all wars waged by the US in foreign soil. Entering another war, to the Fare-Left, destroys Obama's credibility and ant-war sentiments.

To be continued!